Page 381 - 《环境工程技术学报》2023年第1期

Vol.13，No.1 环 境 工 程 技 术 学 报 第 13 卷，第 1 期
Jan.，2023 Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology 2023 年 1 月

唐娇娇，余成，张委伟，等.基 于 CLUE- 和 InVES 模型的苏州市生境质量评估及预 测 [J].环境工程技术学报，2023，13（1）：377-385.
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TANG J J,YU C,ZHANG W W,et al.Habitat quality assessment and prediction in Suzhou based on CLUE-S and InVEST models[J].Journal of
Environmental Engineering Technology，2023，13（1）：377-385.
基 于 CLUE- 和 InVES 模型的苏州市
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生境质量评估及预测

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唐娇娇 ，余成 ，张委伟 ，陈德超 1,2*
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1.苏州科技大学环境科学与工程学院
2.苏州科技大学地理科学与测绘工程学院
摘要 评估城市化进程中土地利用变化下的生境质量演变，对于构建综合生态规划体系、应对全球可持续发展的重大挑战具有
重要意义。基于苏州 市 201 年 和 201 年遥感影像解译的土地利用数据和社会经济等数据，选取高程、坡度、到公路的距离、
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人口密度等驱动因子，采 用 CLUE- 模型模拟多情景 下 203 年土地利用变化，并通过生态系统服务评估与权衡（InVEST）模型
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评估过去并预测未来的生境质量时空演变，探讨土地利用变化对生境质量的影响。结果表明：最优拟合尺度 为 400 m×400 m，
Kapp 系数达 到 0.854 5，模型能够很好地模拟研究区未来的土地利用格局；苏州 市 203 年生态保护情景下的生境质量优于
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201 年， 而 203 年自然增长情景下的生境质量差 于 201 年 和 201 年；从空间分布看，苏州市中心城区、工业较集中和人口活
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动强度大的地区生境质量差，太湖周边等水系发达地区生境质量较好。因此，未来研究区在发展经济的同时，更要注重生态保
护，实现高质量发展。
关键词 CLUE- 模型；InVES 模型；情景模拟；生境质量；苏州市
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中图分类号：X826 文章编号：1674-991X（2023）01-0377-09 doi：10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210657
Habitat quality assessment and prediction in Suzhou based on
CLUE-S and InVEST models
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TANG Jiaojiao , YU Cheng , ZHANG Weiwei , CHEN Dechao 1,2*
1.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology
2.School of Geography Science and Geomatics Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology
Abstract Assessing the evolution of habitat quality under land use changes in the process of urbanization is of
great significance for building a comprehensive ecological planning system and responding to major challenges in
global sustainable development. Based on the land use data and socio-economic data interpreted by remote sensing
images of Suzhou in 2010 and 2018, this paper selects driving factors such as elevation, slope, distance to highway,
and population density, and uses the CLUE-S model to simulate land use changes in 2030 under multiple scenarios,
and the InVEST model is used to assess and predict the spatial and temporal evolution of habitat quality in the past
and future to explore the impact of land use change on habitat. The results showed that the optimal fitting scale was
400 m × 400 m, the Kappa coefficient reached 0.854 5, and the model was able to simulate the future land use cover
pattern of the study area well. In terms of temporal distribution, the habitat quality under the ecological protection
scenario in Suzhou in 2030 was the best, while the habitat quality under the natural growth scenario in 2030 was
lower than that in 2010 and 2018. In terms of spatial distribution, the habitat quality in the central city of Suzhou,
areas with higher concentration of industries and high intensity of population activities are poor, while the habitat
quality in the areas with developed water systems such as around Taihu Lake is better. Therefore, the future research
area should pay more attention to ecological protection and achieve high-quality development while developing the

收稿日期：2021-11-05
基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目（41801148，41701477）
作者简介：唐娇娇（1995—），女，硕士研究生，主要从事环境规划与管理研究，2278918228@qq.com
* 责任作者：陈德超（1972—），男，教授，博士，主要从事环境规划与管理研究，dcchen2002@163.com