Page 110 - 《环境工程技术学报》2022年第5期

Vol.12，No.5 环 境 工 程 技 术 学 报 第 12 卷，第 5 期
Sep.，2022 Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology 2022 年 9 月

裴宏伟，张红娟，张良，等.清水河流域生态系统服务评估及预 测 [J].环境工程技术学报，2022，12（5）：1466-1473.
PEI H W,ZHANG H J,ZHANG L,et al.Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services in Qingshui River Basin[J].Journal of Environmental Engineering
Technology，2022，12（5）：1466-1473.

清水河流域生态系统服务评估及预测

裴宏伟 ，张红娟 ，张良 ，李雅丽 ，张高伟 ，刘孟竹 1,2*
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1.河北建筑工程学院市政与环境工程系
2.河北省水质工程与水资源综合利用重点实验室
3.河北省张家口水文勘测研究中心
摘要 城镇化扩张、农业活动和生态修复等人为因素给清水河流域土地格局和生态环境带来了显著改变，评估并预测未来的土
地格局以及生态系统服务与价值对于流域生态可持续发展具有重要意义。基 于 CA-Marko 模型 和 GI 软件，以预测+设计的方
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式通 过 InVES 模型模拟了未来生态系统服务与价值。结果显示：1）清水河流 域 2000—201 年单位面积碳储量、单位面积土壤
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保持量、单位面积产水量分别 为 100.68 t/hm 、800.62 t/hm 、57.88 mm，除碳储量呈减小趋势外，产水量和土壤保持量均呈增长
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趋势；2）201 年流域生态系统服务价值 为 24.4 亿元， 比 200 年减少 了 2.2%，分别为该 区 201 年农林渔牧业总产值、GD 的
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2.31、0.7 倍；3）未来在坡度大 于 15°的区域退耕还林条件下，除产水量显著减小外，流域碳储量、土壤保持量生态系统服务价值
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均显著提升。研究表明， 近 2 年清水河流域在气候均质条件下，生态系统服务及其价值的提升仍然不显著甚至有所下降，但在
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大 于 15°陡坡上的植树造林措施能够有效改善这一趋势。
关键词 清水河流域；生态系统服务；CA-Marko 模型；退耕还林
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中图分类号：X522,X826 文章编号：1674-991X（2022）05-1466-08 doi：10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210341
Assessment and prediction of ecosystem services in Qingshui River Basin
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PEI Hongwei , ZHANG Hongjuan , ZHANG Liang , LI Yali , ZHANG Gaowei , LIU Mengzhu 1,2*
1.Department of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture
2.Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources
3.Zhangjiakou Research Center for Hydrological Survey of Hebei Province
Abstract Rapid urbanization, agricultural activities and ecological restoration significantly altered land-use pattern
and eco-environments of Qingshui River Basin. It is critical for assessing and projecting the future land-use patterns,
ecosystem service and its values for ecologically sustainable areas. Based on the CA-Markov model and GIS
software, the future ecosystem service and its values were simulated by using InVEST model in the way of
prediction plus design. The results showed that: 1) In 2000, 2009 and 2018, the average values of carbon storage,
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soil conservation, and water yield in Qingshui River Basin approached approximately 100.68 t/hm , 800.62 t/hm ,
and 57.88 mm, respectively, exhibiting the increasing trends in water yield and soil conservation except for carbon
storage which had a decreasing trend. 2) The total ecosystem service values in the study area reached approximately
2.44 billion yuan in 2018, with a 2.2% decrease compared with the level in 2000. This value was 2.31 times of the
total output value of agriculture, forestry, fishery and animal husbandry, and 0.78 times of local gross domestic
product (GDP). 3) As “ Grain for Green” practices were implemented in the regions with >15° slopes, the
ecosystem service values of carbon storage and soil conservation got pronouncedly improved, whereas water yield
exhibited an obvious decreased trend. The research showed that under the condition of a homogeneous climate in
Qingshui River Basin in the last 20 years, the ecosystem service and its values had not significantly increased or
even declined. Specifically, the afforestation practices on steep slopes of >15° may help reverse the trend of

收稿日期：2021-07-20
基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目（41701017）；河北省自然科学基金项目（D2020404001）；河北省水利厅水利科技计 划 (2021-22)；河北省科技厅重
点研发计划项目（22377001D）
作者简介：裴宏 伟 (1987—)，男，副教授，博士，主要从事流域生态水文和城市生态学研究，hwpei@sjziam.ac.cn
* 通信作者：刘孟 竹 (1994—)，男，硕士研究生，主要从事环境生态学研究，protectzhuzhu@163.com